Liverpool vs Brighton

Liverpool30%
Draw24%
Brighton46%

1.46 expected goals for Liverpool

1.88 expected goals for Brighton

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Brighton has the edge (46%), but not by much: a draw is at 24% and a Liverpool win at 30%. It expects 3.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 60% chance, and both teams scoring, 58%. And about 10.4 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
Over 1.5 goals85%It happened
Over 2.5 goals60%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals43%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals24%It did not happen

Both teams score58%
Liverpool or draw54%
Draw or Brighton70%
No draw76%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.4 expected

5.7 for Liverpool and 4.8 for Brighton

Over 8.5 corners66%
Over 9.5 corners56%
Over 10.5 corners46%

Cards

4.1 expected

1.9 for Liverpool and 2.2 for Brighton

Over 3.5 cards59%
Over 4.5 cards39%
Over 5.5 cards23%

Shots

27.6 expected

13.9 for Liverpool and 13.7 for Brighton

Over 20.5 shots84%
Over 22.5 shots75%
Over 24.5 shots64%

Fouls

22.1 expected

10.8 for Liverpool and 11.3 for Brighton

Over 20.5 fouls61%
Over 22.5 fouls45%
Over 24.5 fouls31%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.