Coventry vs Fulham

Coventry32%
Draw26%
Fulham42%

1.21 expected goals for Coventry

1.44 expected goals for Fulham

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Fulham has the edge (42%), but not by much: a draw is at 26% and a Coventry win at 32%. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 53% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%. And about 9.7 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
Over 1.5 goals75%It did not happen
Over 2.5 goals53%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals28%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals13%It did not happen

Both teams score55%
Coventry or draw58%
Draw or Fulham68%
No draw74%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.7 expected

5.0 for Coventry and 4.7 for Fulham

Over 8.5 corners59%
Over 9.5 corners48%
Over 10.5 corners38%

Cards

3.7 expected

1.6 for Coventry and 2.1 for Fulham

Over 3.5 cards50%
Over 4.5 cards30%
Over 5.5 cards16%

Shots

29.1 expected

14.2 for Coventry and 14.9 for Fulham

Over 20.5 shots88%
Over 22.5 shots80%
Over 24.5 shots71%

Fouls

20.7 expected

10.2 for Coventry and 10.5 for Fulham

Over 20.5 fouls50%
Over 22.5 fouls34%
Over 24.5 fouls21%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.