Arsenal vs Everton

Arsenal60%
Draw25%
Everton15%

1.65 expected goals for Arsenal

0.58 expected goals for Everton

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Arsenal the clear favourite: 60% to win. It expects 2.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 47% chance, and both teams scoring, 45%. And about 9.3 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals89%It happened
Over 1.5 goals66%It happened
Over 2.5 goals47%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals19%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals8%It did not happen

Both teams score45%
Arsenal or draw85%
Draw or Everton40%
No draw75%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.3 expected

5.1 for Arsenal and 4.2 for Everton

Over 8.5 corners55%
Over 9.5 corners45%
Over 10.5 corners35%

Cards

4.0 expected

1.7 for Arsenal and 2.3 for Everton

Over 3.5 cards56%
Over 4.5 cards37%
Over 5.5 cards21%

Shots

24.8 expected

13.8 for Arsenal and 11.0 for Everton

Over 20.5 shots73%
Over 22.5 shots61%
Over 24.5 shots49%

Fouls

22.6 expected

11.7 for Arsenal and 10.9 for Everton

Over 20.5 fouls64%
Over 22.5 fouls49%
Over 24.5 fouls34%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.