Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse

Sanfrecce Hiroshima63%
Draw22%
Shimizu S-pulse15%

2.02 expected goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0.70 expected goals for Shimizu S-pulse

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the clear favourite: 63% to win. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 50% chance, and both teams scoring, 49%. And about 10.5 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
Over 1.5 goals76%It happened
Over 2.5 goals50%It happened
Over 3.5 goals29%It happened
Over 4.5 goals14%It did not happen

Both teams score49%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw85%
Draw or Shimizu S-pulse37%
No draw78%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.5 expected

6.7 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 3.8 for Shimizu S-pulse

Over 8.5 corners66%
Over 9.5 corners56%
Over 10.5 corners46%

Cards

3.6 expected

1.6 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 2.0 for Shimizu S-pulse

Over 3.5 cards49%
Over 4.5 cards30%
Over 5.5 cards16%

Shots

27.2 expected

18.5 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 8.7 for Shimizu S-pulse

Over 20.5 shots81%
Over 22.5 shots72%
Over 24.5 shots61%

Fouls

22.1 expected

10.8 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 11.3 for Shimizu S-pulse

Over 20.5 fouls61%
Over 22.5 fouls45%
Over 24.5 fouls31%

Saved before kickoff, on 23 October at 07:08 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.