Probably Football

Matches

J1 League (Japan)

Wednesday 21 October, 05:00

Final score

FC Tokyo0-0Kashiwa Reysol

The model gave this result 24%. Its most likely result was a FC Tokyo win (42%).

FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol

  1. FC Tokyo42%
  2. Draw24%
  3. Kashiwa Reysol34%

1.83 expected goals for FC Tokyo

1.50 expected goals for Kashiwa Reysol

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

FC Tokyo has the edge (42%), but not by much: a draw is at 24% and a Kashiwa Reysol win at 34%. It expects 3.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance, and both teams scoring, 57%. And about 9.2 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals96%It did not happen
  2. Over 1.5 goals85%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals54%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals43%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals24%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.2 expected

4.8 for FC Tokyo and 4.4 for Kashiwa Reysol

  1. Over 8.5 corners54%
  2. Over 9.5 corners43%
  3. Over 10.5 corners34%

Cards

3.7 expected

1.9 for FC Tokyo and 1.8 for Kashiwa Reysol

  1. Over 3.5 cards49%
  2. Over 4.5 cards30%
  3. Over 5.5 cards16%

Shots

25.1 expected

13.7 for FC Tokyo and 11.4 for Kashiwa Reysol

  1. Over 20.5 shots74%
  2. Over 22.5 shots63%
  3. Over 24.5 shots51%

Fouls

22.1 expected

11.2 for FC Tokyo and 10.9 for Kashiwa Reysol

  1. Over 20.5 fouls61%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls45%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls31%

Saved before kickoff, on 20 October at 20:04 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.