Probably Football

Matches

Super League (Switzerland)

Saturday 24 October, 10:00

Final score

FC Zurich2-1FC Luzern

The model gave this result 34%. Its most likely result was a FC Luzern win (41%).

FC Zurich vs FC Luzern

  1. FC Zurich34%
  2. Draw25%
  3. FC Luzern41%

1.72 expected goals for FC Zurich

2.11 expected goals for FC Luzern

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 41%. It expects 3.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 66% chance, and both teams scoring, 68%. And about 10.0 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals97%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals90%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals66%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals53%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals34%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.0 expected

6.0 for FC Zurich and 4.1 for FC Luzern

  1. Over 8.5 corners62%
  2. Over 9.5 corners52%
  3. Over 10.5 corners42%

Cards

4.4 expected

2.2 for FC Zurich and 2.2 for FC Luzern

  1. Over 3.5 cards64%
  2. Over 4.5 cards45%
  3. Over 5.5 cards28%

Shots

30.7 expected

17.9 for FC Zurich and 12.8 for FC Luzern

  1. Over 20.5 shots91%
  2. Over 22.5 shots85%
  3. Over 24.5 shots77%

Fouls

24.0 expected

11.1 for FC Zurich and 12.9 for FC Luzern

  1. Over 20.5 fouls73%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls59%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls44%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.