Servette FC vs FC Vaduz

Servette FC48%
Draw26%
FC Vaduz26%

1.80 expected goals for Servette FC

1.23 expected goals for FC Vaduz

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Servette FC has the edge (48%), but not by much: a draw is at 26% and a FC Vaduz win at 26%. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 57% chance, and both teams scoring, 60%. And about 10.5 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
Over 1.5 goals81%It happened
Over 2.5 goals57%It happened
Over 3.5 goals36%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals19%It did not happen

Both teams score60%
Servette FC or draw74%
Draw or FC Vaduz52%
No draw74%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.5 expected

5.6 for Servette FC and 4.9 for FC Vaduz

Over 8.5 corners67%
Over 9.5 corners57%
Over 10.5 corners47%

Cards

4.2 expected

2.2 for Servette FC and 2.0 for FC Vaduz

Over 3.5 cards61%
Over 4.5 cards41%
Over 5.5 cards25%

Shots

28.1 expected

14.9 for Servette FC and 13.2 for FC Vaduz

Over 20.5 shots85%
Over 22.5 shots77%
Over 24.5 shots67%

Fouls

27.3 expected

12.8 for Servette FC and 14.5 for FC Vaduz

Over 20.5 fouls88%
Over 22.5 fouls79%
Over 24.5 fouls67%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.