Saturday 24 October, 10:00
Final score
Auxerre1-1Le Mans
The model gave this result 26%. Its most likely result was a Auxerre win (40%).
Auxerre vs Le Mans
- Auxerre40%
- Draw26%
- Le Mans34%
1.53 expected goals for Auxerre
1.36 expected goals for Le Mans
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 40%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 55% chance, and both teams scoring, 57%. And about 10.6 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals79%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals55%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals33%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals17%It did not happen
- Both teams score57%
- Auxerre or draw66%
- Draw or Le Mans60%
- No draw74%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.6 expected
5.7 for Auxerre and 4.9 for Le Mans
- Over 8.5 corners67%
- Over 9.5 corners57%
- Over 10.5 corners47%
Cards
4.1 expected
1.9 for Auxerre and 2.2 for Le Mans
- Over 3.5 cards58%
- Over 4.5 cards38%
- Over 5.5 cards22%
Shots
26.5 expected
15.2 for Auxerre and 11.3 for Le Mans
- Over 20.5 shots80%
- Over 22.5 shots70%
- Over 24.5 shots59%
Fouls
23.6 expected
11.2 for Auxerre and 12.4 for Le Mans
- Over 20.5 fouls71%
- Over 22.5 fouls56%
- Over 24.5 fouls41%
Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.