Probably Football

Matches

Ligue 2 (France)

Friday 23 October, 13:00

Final score

Clermont Foot0-2Guingamp

The model gave this result 32%. Its most likely result was a Clermont Foot win (39%).

Clermont Foot vs Guingamp

  1. Clermont Foot39%
  2. Draw29%
  3. Guingamp32%

1.31 expected goals for Clermont Foot

1.15 expected goals for Guingamp

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 39%. It expects 2.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 46% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 9.0 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals91%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals71%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals46%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals23%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals10%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.0 expected

5.2 for Clermont Foot and 3.8 for Guingamp

  1. Over 8.5 corners52%
  2. Over 9.5 corners41%
  3. Over 10.5 corners31%

Cards

4.2 expected

2.0 for Clermont Foot and 2.2 for Guingamp

  1. Over 3.5 cards61%
  2. Over 4.5 cards41%
  3. Over 5.5 cards25%

Shots

24.4 expected

13.4 for Clermont Foot and 11.0 for Guingamp

  1. Over 20.5 shots71%
  2. Over 22.5 shots59%
  3. Over 24.5 shots46%

Fouls

30.3 expected

16.5 for Clermont Foot and 13.8 for Guingamp

  1. Over 20.5 fouls95%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls90%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls83%

Saved before kickoff, on 23 October at 07:08 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.