Saturday 24 October, 11:45
Final score
Willem II1-6Cambuur
The model gave this result 36%. Its most likely result was a Willem II win (37%).
Willem II vs Cambuur
- Willem II37%
- Draw27%
- Cambuur36%
1.48 expected goals for Willem II
1.42 expected goals for Cambuur
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 37%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 57% chance, and both teams scoring, 57%. And about 10.1 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals79%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals57%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals33%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals17%It happened
- Both teams score57%
- Willem II or draw64%
- Draw or Cambuur63%
- No draw73%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.1 expected
5.3 for Willem II and 4.8 for Cambuur
- Over 8.5 corners63%
- Over 9.5 corners52%
- Over 10.5 corners42%
Cards
3.9 expected
1.9 for Willem II and 2.0 for Cambuur
- Over 3.5 cards54%
- Over 4.5 cards34%
- Over 5.5 cards19%
Shots
28.9 expected
13.7 for Willem II and 15.2 for Cambuur
- Over 20.5 shots87%
- Over 22.5 shots80%
- Over 24.5 shots70%
Fouls
24.7 expected
12.3 for Willem II and 12.4 for Cambuur
- Over 20.5 fouls78%
- Over 22.5 fouls65%
- Over 24.5 fouls50%
Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.