Probably Football

Matches

1. Division (Denmark)

Saturday 24 October, 07:00

Final score

Esbjerg2-1FC Fredericia

The model gave this result 30%. Its most likely result was a FC Fredericia win (47%).

Esbjerg vs FC Fredericia

  1. Esbjerg30%
  2. Draw23%
  3. FC Fredericia47%

1.38 expected goals for Esbjerg

1.79 expected goals for FC Fredericia

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

FC Fredericia has the edge (47%), but not by much: a draw is at 23% and a Esbjerg win at 30%. It expects 3.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 55% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals83%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals55%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals39%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals21%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.