Probably Football

Matches

Liga MX (Mexico)

Sunday 25 October, 19:00

Final score

Club America1-2CF Pachuca

The model gave this result 20%. Its most likely result was a Club America win (56%).

Club America vs CF Pachuca

  1. Club America56%
  2. Draw24%
  3. CF Pachuca20%

1.95 expected goals for Club America

1.11 expected goals for CF Pachuca

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Club America the clear favourite: 56% to win. It expects 3.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 55% chance, and both teams scoring, 57%. And about 10.1 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals81%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals55%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals36%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals19%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.1 expected

5.2 for Club America and 4.9 for CF Pachuca

  1. Over 8.5 corners63%
  2. Over 9.5 corners53%
  3. Over 10.5 corners43%

Cards

4.8 expected

2.0 for Club America and 2.8 for CF Pachuca

  1. Over 3.5 cards71%
  2. Over 4.5 cards52%
  3. Over 5.5 cards35%

Shots

31.8 expected

19.9 for Club America and 11.8 for CF Pachuca

  1. Over 20.5 shots93%
  2. Over 22.5 shots87%
  3. Over 24.5 shots80%

Fouls

25.1 expected

11.4 for Club America and 13.7 for CF Pachuca

  1. Over 20.5 fouls79%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls67%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls52%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.