Saturday 24 October, 21:00
Final score
Monterrey0-1Guadalajara Chivas
The model gave this result 36%. Its most likely result was a Monterrey win (37%).
Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas
- Monterrey37%
- Draw27%
- Guadalajara Chivas36%
1.32 expected goals for Monterrey
1.49 expected goals for Guadalajara Chivas
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 37%. It expects 2.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 52% chance, and both teams scoring, 57%. And about 10.5 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals78%It did not happen
- Over 2.5 goals52%It did not happen
- Over 3.5 goals31%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals15%It did not happen
- Both teams score57%
- Monterrey or draw64%
- Draw or Guadalajara Chivas63%
- No draw73%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.5 expected
5.5 for Monterrey and 4.9 for Guadalajara Chivas
- Over 8.5 corners66%
- Over 9.5 corners56%
- Over 10.5 corners46%
Cards
4.2 expected
1.9 for Monterrey and 2.3 for Guadalajara Chivas
- Over 3.5 cards60%
- Over 4.5 cards41%
- Over 5.5 cards25%
Shots
25.8 expected
13.7 for Monterrey and 12.1 for Guadalajara Chivas
- Over 20.5 shots77%
- Over 22.5 shots67%
- Over 24.5 shots55%
Fouls
24.8 expected
12.0 for Monterrey and 12.8 for Guadalajara Chivas
- Over 20.5 fouls78%
- Over 22.5 fouls65%
- Over 24.5 fouls50%
Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.