Wednesday 28 October, 12:30
Final score
Torino1-3Como
The model's most likely result happened: a Como win (68%).
Torino vs Como
- Torino11%
- Draw21%
- Como68%
0.93 expected goals for Torino
2.18 expected goals for Como
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes Como the clear favourite: 68% to win. It expects 3.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 55% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%. And about 9.3 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals82%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals55%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals38%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals20%It did not happen
- Both teams score54%
- Torino or draw32%
- Draw or Como89%
- No draw79%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.3 expected
5.2 for Torino and 4.1 for Como
- Over 8.5 corners55%
- Over 9.5 corners44%
- Over 10.5 corners35%
Cards
3.9 expected
1.6 for Torino and 2.3 for Como
- Over 3.5 cards55%
- Over 4.5 cards35%
- Over 5.5 cards20%
Shots
27.5 expected
13.2 for Torino and 14.3 for Como
- Over 20.5 shots83%
- Over 22.5 shots74%
- Over 24.5 shots64%
Fouls
23.5 expected
11.3 for Torino and 12.1 for Como
- Over 20.5 fouls70%
- Over 22.5 fouls56%
- Over 24.5 fouls41%
Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.