Sassuolo vs Lazio

Sassuolo25%
Draw29%
Lazio46%

1.12 expected goals for Sassuolo

1.49 expected goals for Lazio

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Lazio has the edge (46%), but not by much: a draw is at 29% and a Sassuolo win at 25%. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 50% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%. And about 10.3 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
Over 1.5 goals74%It happened
Over 2.5 goals50%It happened
Over 3.5 goals26%It happened
Over 4.5 goals12%It happened

Both teams score53%
Sassuolo or draw54%
Draw or Lazio75%
No draw71%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.3 expected

5.2 for Sassuolo and 5.0 for Lazio

Over 8.5 corners64%
Over 9.5 corners54%
Over 10.5 corners44%

Cards

4.1 expected

1.8 for Sassuolo and 2.3 for Lazio

Over 3.5 cards59%
Over 4.5 cards40%
Over 5.5 cards24%

Shots

27.5 expected

13.3 for Sassuolo and 14.1 for Lazio

Over 20.5 shots83%
Over 22.5 shots74%
Over 24.5 shots64%

Fouls

22.2 expected

10.8 for Sassuolo and 11.4 for Lazio

Over 20.5 fouls62%
Over 22.5 fouls46%
Over 24.5 fouls32%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.