Monza vs Napoli

Monza15%
Draw22%
Napoli63%

1.13 expected goals for Monza

2.19 expected goals for Napoli

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Napoli the clear favourite: 63% to win. It expects 3.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 57%. And about 9.8 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
Over 1.5 goals85%It happened
Over 2.5 goals56%It happened
Over 3.5 goals42%It happened
Over 4.5 goals24%It happened

Both teams score57%
Monza or draw37%
Draw or Napoli85%
No draw78%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.8 expected

5.0 for Monza and 4.8 for Napoli

Over 8.5 corners60%
Over 9.5 corners49%
Over 10.5 corners39%

Cards

3.7 expected

1.5 for Monza and 2.2 for Napoli

Over 3.5 cards51%
Over 4.5 cards32%
Over 5.5 cards18%

Shots

29.2 expected

16.1 for Monza and 13.2 for Napoli

Over 20.5 shots88%
Over 22.5 shots81%
Over 24.5 shots72%

Fouls

21.8 expected

10.8 for Monza and 11.0 for Napoli

Over 20.5 fouls58%
Over 22.5 fouls43%
Over 24.5 fouls29%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.