AS Roma vs Cagliari

AS Roma74%
Draw17%
Cagliari9%

2.54 expected goals for AS Roma

0.71 expected goals for Cagliari

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes AS Roma the clear favourite: 74% to win. It expects 3.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 51%. And about 9.8 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
Over 1.5 goals84%It happened
Over 2.5 goals56%It happened
Over 3.5 goals41%It happened
Over 4.5 goals23%It happened

Both teams score51%
AS Roma or draw92%
Draw or Cagliari26%
No draw83%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.8 expected

5.8 for AS Roma and 4.0 for Cagliari

Over 8.5 corners60%
Over 9.5 corners49%
Over 10.5 corners39%

Cards

4.0 expected

1.8 for AS Roma and 2.2 for Cagliari

Over 3.5 cards56%
Over 4.5 cards37%
Over 5.5 cards21%

Shots

29.0 expected

19.1 for AS Roma and 9.9 for Cagliari

Over 20.5 shots87%
Over 22.5 shots79%
Over 24.5 shots69%

Fouls

20.5 expected

10.7 for AS Roma and 9.8 for Cagliari

Over 20.5 fouls49%
Over 22.5 fouls33%
Over 24.5 fouls20%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.