Udinese vs AC Milan

Udinese20%
Draw27%
AC Milan53%

1.03 expected goals for Udinese

1.67 expected goals for AC Milan

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

AC Milan has the edge (53%), but not by much: a draw is at 27% and a Udinese win at 20%. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 51% chance, and both teams scoring, 54%. And about 9.3 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
Over 1.5 goals76%It happened
Over 2.5 goals51%It did not happen
Over 3.5 goals29%It did not happen
Over 4.5 goals14%It did not happen

Both teams score54%
Udinese or draw47%
Draw or AC Milan80%
No draw73%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.3 expected

5.0 for Udinese and 4.3 for AC Milan

Over 8.5 corners55%
Over 9.5 corners44%
Over 10.5 corners35%

Cards

3.6 expected

1.8 for Udinese and 1.8 for AC Milan

Over 3.5 cards48%
Over 4.5 cards29%
Over 5.5 cards15%

Shots

25.7 expected

13.1 for Udinese and 12.6 for AC Milan

Over 20.5 shots77%
Over 22.5 shots66%
Over 24.5 shots54%

Fouls

22.0 expected

12.2 for Udinese and 9.8 for AC Milan

Over 20.5 fouls60%
Over 22.5 fouls45%
Over 24.5 fouls30%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.