Torino vs Monza

Torino45%
Draw27%
Monza28%

1.69 expected goals for Torino

1.29 expected goals for Monza

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Torino has the edge (45%), but not by much: a draw is at 27% and a Monza win at 28%. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance, and both teams scoring, 56%. And about 10.1 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
Over 1.5 goals80%It happened
Over 2.5 goals54%It happened
Over 3.5 goals35%It happened
Over 4.5 goals18%It happened

Both teams score56%
Torino or draw72%
Draw or Monza55%
No draw73%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.1 expected

5.6 for Torino and 4.5 for Monza

Over 8.5 corners63%
Over 9.5 corners53%
Over 10.5 corners43%

Cards

3.2 expected

1.4 for Torino and 1.9 for Monza

Over 3.5 cards41%
Over 4.5 cards23%
Over 5.5 cards11%

Shots

26.7 expected

13.5 for Torino and 13.2 for Monza

Over 20.5 shots81%
Over 22.5 shots71%
Over 24.5 shots60%

Fouls

24.7 expected

11.4 for Torino and 13.2 for Monza

Over 20.5 fouls77%
Over 22.5 fouls64%
Over 24.5 fouls50%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.