Deportivo Cali vs Chico
- Deportivo Cali58%
- Draw30%
- Chico12%
1.39 expected goals for Deportivo Cali
0.60 expected goals for Chico
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
In short
The model makes Deportivo Cali the clear favourite: 58% to win. The biggest factor in these numbers is the Deportivo Cali defence, which lets in 42% fewer goals than an average team. Next comes the Chico attack, which scores 24% fewer goals than an average team. It expects 2.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 39% chance, and both teams scoring, 47%. And about 9.2 corners.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
Deportivo Cali
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- Deportivo Cali attack+6%
- Chico defence−13%
Expected goals1.39
Chico
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Chico attack−24%
- Deportivo Cali defence−42%
Expected goals0.60
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals86%
- Over 1.5 goals60%
- Over 2.5 goals39%
- Over 3.5 goals14%
- Over 4.5 goals5%
- Both teams score47%
- Deportivo Cali or draw88%
- Draw or Chico43%
- No draw70%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.2 expected
5.1 for Deportivo Cali and 4.1 for Chico
- Over 8.5 corners54%
- Over 9.5 corners43%
- Over 10.5 corners34%
Cards
4.1 expected
1.5 for Deportivo Cali and 2.6 for Chico
- Over 3.5 cards58%
- Over 4.5 cards39%
- Over 5.5 cards23%
Shots
24.5 expected
16.0 for Deportivo Cali and 8.5 for Chico
- Over 20.5 shots70%
- Over 22.5 shots59%
- Over 24.5 shots46%
Fouls
22.2 expected
10.3 for Deportivo Cali and 11.9 for Chico
- Over 20.5 fouls62%
- Over 22.5 fouls46%
- Over 24.5 fouls31%
Saved before kickoff, on (UTC). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.