Thursday 29 October, 13:00
Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Cusco
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas30%
- Draw21%
- Cusco49%
1.37 expected goals for Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2.09 expected goals for Cusco
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas attack+4%
- Cusco defence−13%
Expected goals1.37
Cusco
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Cusco attack+28%
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas defence+20%
Expected goals2.09
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals96%
- Over 1.5 goals86%
- Over 2.5 goals60%
- Over 3.5 goals45%
- Over 4.5 goals27%
- Both teams score61%
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas or draw51%
- Draw or Cusco70%
- No draw79%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.3 expected
5.0 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas and 4.3 for Cusco
- Over 8.5 corners55%
- Over 9.5 corners44%
- Over 10.5 corners35%
Cards
4.2 expected
1.8 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas and 2.5 for Cusco
- Over 3.5 cards61%
- Over 4.5 cards42%
- Over 5.5 cards25%
Shots
29.6 expected
16.9 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas and 12.6 for Cusco
- Over 20.5 shots89%
- Over 22.5 shots82%
- Over 24.5 shots73%
Fouls
23.2 expected
10.5 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas and 12.7 for Cusco
- Over 20.5 fouls68%
- Over 22.5 fouls53%
- Over 24.5 fouls38%
Saved before kickoff, on 29 October at 08:02 (Peru time). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.