Probably Football

Matches

Primera División (Peru)

Wednesday 28 October, 16:00

Final score

Juan Pablo II College2-0Sport Huancayo

The model's most likely result happened: a Juan Pablo II College win (39%).

Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Huancayo

  1. Juan Pablo II College39%
  2. Draw23%
  3. Sport Huancayo38%

1.62 expected goals for Juan Pablo II College

1.80 expected goals for Sport Huancayo

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 39%. It expects 3.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 59% chance, and both teams scoring, 62%. And about 9.1 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals86%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals59%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals45%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals26%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.1 expected

4.7 for Juan Pablo II College and 4.3 for Sport Huancayo

  1. Over 8.5 corners52%
  2. Over 9.5 corners42%
  3. Over 10.5 corners32%

Cards

5.1 expected

2.2 for Juan Pablo II College and 2.9 for Sport Huancayo

  1. Over 3.5 cards75%
  2. Over 4.5 cards58%
  3. Over 5.5 cards40%

Shots

28.4 expected

13.2 for Juan Pablo II College and 15.2 for Sport Huancayo

  1. Over 20.5 shots86%
  2. Over 22.5 shots78%
  3. Over 24.5 shots68%

Fouls

24.8 expected

11.6 for Juan Pablo II College and 13.2 for Sport Huancayo

  1. Over 20.5 fouls78%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls65%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls50%

Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.