Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atletico

Sport Huancayo45%
Draw22%
Alianza Atletico33%

1.78 expected goals for Sport Huancayo

1.67 expected goals for Alianza Atletico

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Sport Huancayo has the edge (45%), but not by much: a draw is at 22% and a Alianza Atletico win at 33%. It expects 3.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 59% chance, and both teams scoring, 62%. And about 9.2 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
Over 1.5 goals86%It happened
Over 2.5 goals59%It happened
Over 3.5 goals45%It happened
Over 4.5 goals27%It happened

Both teams score62%
Sport Huancayo or draw67%
Draw or Alianza Atletico55%
No draw77%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.2 expected

5.3 for Sport Huancayo and 3.9 for Alianza Atletico

Over 8.5 corners54%
Over 9.5 corners43%
Over 10.5 corners34%

Cards

5.3 expected

2.7 for Sport Huancayo and 2.6 for Alianza Atletico

Over 3.5 cards77%
Over 4.5 cards61%
Over 5.5 cards43%

Shots

28.3 expected

17.6 for Sport Huancayo and 10.8 for Alianza Atletico

Over 20.5 shots85%
Over 22.5 shots77%
Over 24.5 shots67%

Fouls

27.0 expected

15.4 for Sport Huancayo and 11.6 for Alianza Atletico

Over 20.5 fouls87%
Over 22.5 fouls78%
Over 24.5 fouls65%

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.