Lyngby vs Randers FC
- Lyngby43%
- Draw26%
- Randers FC31%
1.67 expected goals for Lyngby
1.36 expected goals for Randers FC
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
In short
Lyngby has the edge (43%), but not by much: a draw is at 26% and a Randers FC win at 31%. The biggest factor in these numbers is the Lyngby attack, which scores 92% more goals than an average team. Next comes the Randers FC defence, which lets in 42% fewer goals than an average team. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 57% chance, and both teams scoring, 59%. And about 10.1 corners.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
Lyngby
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- Lyngby attack+92%
- Randers FC defence−42%
Expected goals1.67
Randers FC
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Randers FC attack+42%
- Lyngby defence−29%
Expected goals1.37
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals95%
- Over 1.5 goals81%
- Over 2.5 goals57%
- Over 3.5 goals36%
- Over 4.5 goals19%
- Both teams score59%
- Lyngby or draw69%
- Draw or Randers FC57%
- No draw74%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.1 expected
5.7 for Lyngby and 4.4 for Randers FC
- Over 8.5 corners63%
- Over 9.5 corners53%
- Over 10.5 corners43%
Cards
4.1 expected
1.7 for Lyngby and 2.3 for Randers FC
- Over 3.5 cards58%
- Over 4.5 cards38%
- Over 5.5 cards23%
Shots
27.6 expected
15.1 for Lyngby and 12.5 for Randers FC
- Over 20.5 shots84%
- Over 22.5 shots75%
- Over 24.5 shots64%
Fouls
26.3 expected
14.5 for Lyngby and 11.8 for Randers FC
- Over 20.5 fouls85%
- Over 22.5 fouls74%
- Over 24.5 fouls61%
Saved before kickoff, on (UTC). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.