Probably Football

Matches

Superliga (Denmark)

Sunday 25 October, 12:00

Final score

Silkeborg1-1FC Nordsjaelland

The model gave this result 27%. Its most likely result was a FC Nordsjaelland win (53%).

Silkeborg vs FC Nordsjaelland

  1. Silkeborg20%
  2. Draw27%
  3. FC Nordsjaelland53%

1.15 expected goals for Silkeborg

2.01 expected goals for FC Nordsjaelland

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

FC Nordsjaelland has the edge (53%), but not by much: a draw is at 27% and a Silkeborg win at 20%. It expects 3.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 58% chance, and both teams scoring, 59%. And about 10.0 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals83%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals58%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals39%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals21%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.0 expected

4.8 for Silkeborg and 5.2 for FC Nordsjaelland

  1. Over 8.5 corners62%
  2. Over 9.5 corners52%
  3. Over 10.5 corners42%

Cards

4.0 expected

1.4 for Silkeborg and 2.6 for FC Nordsjaelland

  1. Over 3.5 cards56%
  2. Over 4.5 cards37%
  3. Over 5.5 cards21%

Shots

27.5 expected

14.3 for Silkeborg and 13.2 for FC Nordsjaelland

  1. Over 20.5 shots83%
  2. Over 22.5 shots74%
  3. Over 24.5 shots64%

Fouls

23.6 expected

11.4 for Silkeborg and 12.2 for FC Nordsjaelland

  1. Over 20.5 fouls71%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls57%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls42%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.