AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske

AC Horsens46%
Draw25%
Sonderjyske29%

1.89 expected goals for AC Horsens

1.41 expected goals for Sonderjyske

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

AC Horsens has the edge (46%), but not by much: a draw is at 25% and a Sonderjyske win at 29%. It expects 3.3 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 59% chance, and both teams scoring, 60%. And about 8.8 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
Over 1.5 goals85%It happened
Over 2.5 goals59%It happened
Over 3.5 goals42%It happened
Over 4.5 goals24%It happened

Both teams score60%
AC Horsens or draw71%
Draw or Sonderjyske54%
No draw75%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

8.8 expected

4.6 for AC Horsens and 4.2 for Sonderjyske

Over 8.5 corners49%
Over 9.5 corners38%
Over 10.5 corners29%

Cards

3.9 expected

1.8 for AC Horsens and 2.1 for Sonderjyske

Over 3.5 cards55%
Over 4.5 cards36%
Over 5.5 cards20%

Shots

27.9 expected

16.8 for AC Horsens and 11.1 for Sonderjyske

Over 20.5 shots84%
Over 22.5 shots76%
Over 24.5 shots65%

Fouls

25.8 expected

15.2 for AC Horsens and 10.6 for Sonderjyske

Over 20.5 fouls83%
Over 22.5 fouls71%
Over 24.5 fouls58%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.