Probably Football

Matches

Canadian Premier League (Canada)

Sunday 25 October, 15:00

Final score

York United2-1Atlético Ottawa

The model gave this result 28%. Its most likely result was a Atlético Ottawa win (48%).

York United vs Atlético Ottawa

  1. York United28%
  2. Draw24%
  3. Atlético Ottawa48%

1.53 expected goals for York United

2.32 expected goals for Atlético Ottawa

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Atlético Ottawa has the edge (48%), but not by much: a draw is at 24% and a York United win at 28%. It expects 3.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 62% chance, and both teams scoring, 66%. And about 9.7 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals98%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals90%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals62%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals54%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals34%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.7 expected

5.1 for York United and 4.6 for Atlético Ottawa

  1. Over 8.5 corners59%
  2. Over 9.5 corners48%
  3. Over 10.5 corners38%

Cards

4.5 expected

2.2 for York United and 2.3 for Atlético Ottawa

  1. Over 3.5 cards66%
  2. Over 4.5 cards47%
  3. Over 5.5 cards30%

Shots

27.1 expected

15.5 for York United and 11.7 for Atlético Ottawa

  1. Over 20.5 shots82%
  2. Over 22.5 shots73%
  3. Over 24.5 shots62%

Fouls

25.6 expected

12.7 for York United and 12.9 for Atlético Ottawa

  1. Over 20.5 fouls82%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls70%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls56%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.