Probably Football

Matches

Canadian Premier League (Canada)

Sunday 25 October, 15:00

Final score

HFX Wanderers FC3-4Supra du Quebec

The model gave this result 37%. Its most likely result was a HFX Wanderers FC win (38%).

HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec

  1. HFX Wanderers FC38%
  2. Draw25%
  3. Supra du Quebec37%

1.74 expected goals for HFX Wanderers FC

1.72 expected goals for Supra du Quebec

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 38%. It expects 3.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 57% chance, and both teams scoring, 62%. And about 9.8 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals86%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals57%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals45%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals27%It happened

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

9.8 expected

5.3 for HFX Wanderers FC and 4.4 for Supra du Quebec

  1. Over 8.5 corners60%
  2. Over 9.5 corners49%
  3. Over 10.5 corners39%

Cards

4.1 expected

1.5 for HFX Wanderers FC and 2.6 for Supra du Quebec

  1. Over 3.5 cards58%
  2. Over 4.5 cards38%
  3. Over 5.5 cards22%

Shots

27.9 expected

12.6 for HFX Wanderers FC and 15.3 for Supra du Quebec

  1. Over 20.5 shots84%
  2. Over 22.5 shots76%
  3. Over 24.5 shots66%

Fouls

24.7 expected

10.9 for HFX Wanderers FC and 13.8 for Supra du Quebec

  1. Over 20.5 fouls78%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls64%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls50%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.