Probably Football

Matches

Primera B (Chile)

Sunday 25 October, 16:00

Final score

San Luis1-1Recoleta

The model gave this result 28%. Its most likely result was a San Luis win (49%).

San Luis vs Recoleta

  1. San Luis49%
  2. Draw28%
  3. Recoleta23%

1.78 expected goals for San Luis

0.94 expected goals for Recoleta

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

San Luis has the edge (49%), but not by much: a draw is at 28% and a Recoleta win at 23%. It expects 2.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals76%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals48%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals29%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals14%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.