Probably Football

Matches

Primera B (Chile)

Sunday 25 October, 16:00

Final score

Rangers de Talca0-1Cobreloa

The model's most likely result happened: a Cobreloa win (40%).

Rangers de Talca vs Cobreloa

  1. Rangers de Talca30%
  2. Draw30%
  3. Cobreloa40%

1.07 expected goals for Rangers de Talca

1.75 expected goals for Cobreloa

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Cobreloa has the edge (40%), but not by much: a draw is at 30% and a Rangers de Talca win at 30%. It expects 2.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance, and both teams scoring, 53%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals93%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals78%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals48%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals31%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals16%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.