Probably Football

Matches

Primera B Metropolitana (Argentina)

Saturday 24 October, 15:00

Final score

Villa Dalmine1-0San Martín Burzaco

The model's most likely result happened: a Villa Dalmine win (39%).

Villa Dalmine vs San Martín Burzaco

  1. Villa Dalmine39%
  2. Draw34%
  3. San Martín Burzaco27%

1.11 expected goals for Villa Dalmine

0.85 expected goals for San Martín Burzaco

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 39%. It expects 2.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 33% chance, and both teams scoring, 42%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals85%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals59%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals33%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals14%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals5%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.