Probably Football

Matches

Primera B Metropolitana (Argentina)

Saturday 24 October, 15:00

Final score

Talleres Remedios4-0Dock Sud

The model's most likely result happened: a Talleres Remedios win (49%).

Talleres Remedios vs Dock Sud

  1. Talleres Remedios49%
  2. Draw33%
  3. Dock Sud18%

1.36 expected goals for Talleres Remedios

0.61 expected goals for Dock Sud

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Talleres Remedios has the edge (49%), but not by much: a draw is at 33% and a Dock Sud win at 18%. It expects 2.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 33% chance, and both teams scoring, 39%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals86%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals59%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals33%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals14%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals5%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.