Primera B Metropolitana (Argentina)
Saturday 24 October, 15:00
Final score
Real Pilar2-1Liniers
The model's most likely result happened: a Real Pilar win (40%).
Real Pilar vs Liniers
- Real Pilar40%
- Draw34%
- Liniers26%
1.07 expected goals for Real Pilar
0.78 expected goals for Liniers
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
A very open match: no result goes above 40%. It expects 1.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 32% chance, and both teams scoring, 40%.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals84%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals56%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals32%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals12%It did not happen
- Over 4.5 goals4%It did not happen
- Both teams score40%
- Real Pilar or draw74%
- Draw or Liniers60%
- No draw66%
Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.