Probably Football

Matches

Primera B Metropolitana (Argentina)

Saturday 24 October, 15:00

Final score

Deportivo Armenio0-1Argentino Quilmes

The model gave this result 22%. Its most likely result was a Deportivo Armenio win (44%).

Deportivo Armenio vs Argentino Quilmes

  1. Deportivo Armenio44%
  2. Draw34%
  3. Argentino Quilmes22%

1.11 expected goals for Deportivo Armenio

0.65 expected goals for Argentino Quilmes

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Deportivo Armenio has the edge (44%), but not by much: a draw is at 34% and a Argentino Quilmes win at 22%. It expects 1.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 32% chance, and both teams scoring, 38%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals82%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals53%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals32%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals10%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals3%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.