Probably Football

Matches

Primera B Metropolitana (Argentina)

Saturday 24 October, 15:00

Final score

Brown DE Adrogue0-1Defensores Unidos

The model gave this result 31%. Its most likely result was a Brown DE Adrogue win (35%).

Brown DE Adrogue vs Defensores Unidos

  1. Brown DE Adrogue35%
  2. Draw34%
  3. Defensores Unidos31%

0.77 expected goals for Brown DE Adrogue

0.72 expected goals for Defensores Unidos

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 35%. It expects 1.5 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 31% chance, and both teams scoring, 35%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals77%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals44%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals31%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals6%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals2%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 24 October at 06:43 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.