Probably Football

Matches

Superettan (Sweden)

Sunday 25 October, 09:00

Final score

IFK Varnamo0-1Sandviken

The model's most likely result happened: a Sandviken win (38%).

IFK Varnamo vs Sandviken

  1. IFK Varnamo36%
  2. Draw26%
  3. Sandviken38%

1.48 expected goals for IFK Varnamo

1.65 expected goals for Sandviken

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

A very open match: no result goes above 38%. It expects 3.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 53% chance, and both teams scoring, 56%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals82%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals53%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals38%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals21%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.