Probably Football

Matches

Superettan (Sweden)

Sunday 25 October, 09:00

Final score

Landskrona BoIS1-1Varbergs BoIS FC

The model gave this result 27%. Its most likely result was a Landskrona BoIS win (44%).

Landskrona BoIS vs Varbergs BoIS FC

  1. Landskrona BoIS44%
  2. Draw27%
  3. Varbergs BoIS FC29%

1.63 expected goals for Landskrona BoIS

1.32 expected goals for Varbergs BoIS FC

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Landskrona BoIS has the edge (44%), but not by much: a draw is at 27% and a Varbergs BoIS FC win at 29%. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 53% chance, and both teams scoring, 56%. And about 11.4 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals80%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals53%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals34%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals18%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

11.4 expected

6.6 for Landskrona BoIS and 4.8 for Varbergs BoIS FC

  1. Over 8.5 corners73%
  2. Over 9.5 corners64%
  3. Over 10.5 corners55%

Cards

3.2 expected

1.3 for Landskrona BoIS and 2.0 for Varbergs BoIS FC

  1. Over 3.5 cards40%
  2. Over 4.5 cards23%
  3. Over 5.5 cards11%

Shots

24.6 expected

15.3 for Landskrona BoIS and 9.3 for Varbergs BoIS FC

  1. Over 20.5 shots72%
  2. Over 22.5 shots60%
  3. Over 24.5 shots48%

Fouls

24.9 expected

14.3 for Landskrona BoIS and 10.6 for Varbergs BoIS FC

  1. Over 20.5 fouls79%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls66%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls51%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.