Stromsgodset vs Moss
- Stromsgodset82%
- Draw11%
- Moss7%
3.10 expected goals for Stromsgodset
0.89 expected goals for Moss
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
In short
The model makes Stromsgodset the clear favourite: 82% to win. The biggest factor in these numbers is the Moss defence, which lets in 48% more goals than an average team. Next comes the Moss attack, which scores 29% fewer goals than an average team. It expects 4.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 68% chance, and both teams scoring, 59%.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
Stromsgodset
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- Stromsgodset attack+38%
- Moss defence+48%
Expected goals3.10
Moss
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Moss attack−29%
- Stromsgodset defence−8%
Expected goals0.89
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals98%
- Over 1.5 goals91%
- Over 2.5 goals68%
- Over 3.5 goals56%
- Over 4.5 goals37%
- Both teams score59%
- Stromsgodset or draw93%
- Draw or Moss17%
- No draw89%
Saved before kickoff, on (UTC). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.