Probably Football

Matches

1. Division (Norway)

Sunday 25 October, 11:00

Final score

Stabaek2-0ODD Ballklubb

The model's most likely result happened: a Stabaek win (49%).

Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb

  1. Stabaek49%
  2. Draw24%
  3. ODD Ballklubb27%

1.96 expected goals for Stabaek

1.40 expected goals for ODD Ballklubb

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Stabaek has the edge (49%), but not by much: a draw is at 24% and a ODD Ballklubb win at 27%. It expects 3.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 63% chance, and both teams scoring, 61%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals96%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals85%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals63%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals43%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals25%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.