Probably Football

Matches

1. Division (Norway)

Sunday 25 October, 11:00

Final score

Sogndal3-1Kongsvinger

The model gave this result 19%. Its most likely result was a Kongsvinger win (67%).

Sogndal vs Kongsvinger

  1. Sogndal19%
  2. Draw14%
  3. Kongsvinger67%

1.42 expected goals for Sogndal

3.25 expected goals for Kongsvinger

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Kongsvinger the clear favourite: 67% to win. It expects 4.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 73% chance, and both teams scoring, 68%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals99%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals95%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals73%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals69%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals50%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.