Probably Football

Matches

1. Division (Norway)

Sunday 25 October, 11:00

Final score

Sandnes ULF2-1Lyn

The model gave this result 31%. Its most likely result was a Lyn win (45%).

Sandnes ULF vs Lyn

  1. Sandnes ULF31%
  2. Draw24%
  3. Lyn45%

1.38 expected goals for Sandnes ULF

1.79 expected goals for Lyn

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Lyn has the edge (45%), but not by much: a draw is at 24% and a Sandnes ULF win at 31%. It expects 3.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 62% chance, and both teams scoring, 60%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals83%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals62%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals39%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals21%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.