Probably Football

Matches

1. Division (Norway)

Sunday 25 October, 11:00

Final score

Raufoss1-3Ranheim

The model's most likely result happened: a Ranheim win (71%).

Raufoss vs Ranheim

  1. Raufoss18%
  2. Draw11%
  3. Ranheim71%

1.60 expected goals for Raufoss

3.75 expected goals for Ranheim

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Ranheim the clear favourite: 71% to win. It expects 5.4 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 77% chance, and both teams scoring, 74%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals99%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals97%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals77%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals78%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals62%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.