Probably Football

Matches

1. Division (Norway)

Sunday 25 October, 11:00

Final score

Moss1-3Asane

The model gave this result 29%. Its most likely result was a Moss win (46%).

Moss vs Asane

  1. Moss46%
  2. Draw25%
  3. Asane29%

1.81 expected goals for Moss

1.38 expected goals for Asane

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

Moss has the edge (46%), but not by much: a draw is at 25% and a Asane win at 29%. It expects 3.2 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 62% chance, and both teams scoring, 60%.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals83%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals62%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals40%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals22%It did not happen

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.