Uppsala W vs Hammarby W
- Uppsala W0%
- Draw0%
- Hammarby W100%
0.39 expected goals for Uppsala W
6.32 expected goals for Hammarby W
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
In short
The model makes Hammarby W the clear favourite: 100% to win. The biggest factor in these numbers is the Hammarby W defence, which lets in 60% fewer goals than an average team. Next comes the Uppsala W defence, which lets in 139% more goals than an average team. It expects 6.7 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 91% chance, and both teams scoring, 40%.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
Uppsala W
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- Uppsala W attack−34%
- Hammarby W defence−60%
Expected goals0.39
Hammarby W
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Hammarby W attack+94%
- Uppsala W defence+139%
Expected goals6.32
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals100%
- Over 1.5 goals99%
- Over 2.5 goals91%
- Over 3.5 goals90%
- Over 4.5 goals79%
- Both teams score40%
- Uppsala W or draw0%
- Draw or Hammarby W100%
- No draw100%
Saved before kickoff, on (UTC). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.