KFUM Oslo vs Ham-Kam
- KFUM Oslo48%
- Draw25%
- Ham-Kam27%
1.69 expected goals for KFUM Oslo
1.25 expected goals for Ham-Kam
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
In short
KFUM Oslo has the edge (48%), but not by much: a draw is at 25% and a Ham-Kam win at 27%. The biggest factor in these numbers is the KFUM Oslo defence, which lets in 25% fewer goals than an average team. Next comes the Ham-Kam attack, which scores 22% more goals than an average team. It expects 2.9 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 59% chance, and both teams scoring, 57%. And about 9.6 corners.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
KFUM Oslo
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- KFUM Oslo attack+13%
- Ham-Kam defence−1%
Expected goals1.69
Ham-Kam
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Ham-Kam attack+22%
- KFUM Oslo defence−25%
Expected goals1.25
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals94%
- Over 1.5 goals80%
- Over 2.5 goals59%
- Over 3.5 goals34%
- Over 4.5 goals17%
- Both teams score57%
- KFUM Oslo or draw73%
- Draw or Ham-Kam52%
- No draw75%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.6 expected
5.0 for KFUM Oslo and 4.6 for Ham-Kam
- Over 8.5 corners58%
- Over 9.5 corners48%
- Over 10.5 corners38%
Cards
3.4 expected
1.2 for KFUM Oslo and 2.1 for Ham-Kam
- Over 3.5 cards44%
- Over 4.5 cards25%
- Over 5.5 cards13%
Shots
28.0 expected
14.7 for KFUM Oslo and 13.3 for Ham-Kam
- Over 20.5 shots85%
- Over 22.5 shots77%
- Over 24.5 shots66%
Fouls
20.9 expected
10.2 for KFUM Oslo and 10.7 for Ham-Kam
- Over 20.5 fouls51%
- Over 22.5 fouls36%
- Over 24.5 fouls23%
Saved before kickoff, on (UTC). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.