Bodo/Glimt vs Viking
- Bodo/Glimt39%
- Draw22%
- Viking39%
1.86 expected goals for Bodo/Glimt
1.97 expected goals for Viking
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
In short
A very open match: no result goes above 39%. The biggest factor in these numbers is the Viking attack, which scores 155% more goals than an average team. Next comes the Bodo/Glimt attack, which scores 113% more goals than an average team. It expects 3.8 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 68% chance, and both teams scoring, 67%. And about 10.5 corners.
Who do you think wins?
Why?
The model starts from the goals of an average team. Then it moves them up or down for what is different in this match.
Bodo/Glimt
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Playing at home+11%
- Bodo/Glimt attack+113%
- Viking defence−42%
Expected goals1.86
Viking
An average team scores 1.36 against an average team
- Viking attack+155%
- Bodo/Glimt defence−43%
Expected goals1.97
Attack and defence are measured against every team each side has played, taking into account how strong each opponent was.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals97%
- Over 1.5 goals90%
- Over 2.5 goals68%
- Over 3.5 goals53%
- Over 4.5 goals34%
- Both teams score67%
- Bodo/Glimt or draw61%
- Draw or Viking61%
- No draw78%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.5 expected
6.2 for Bodo/Glimt and 4.2 for Viking
- Over 8.5 corners66%
- Over 9.5 corners56%
- Over 10.5 corners46%
Cards
3.4 expected
1.3 for Bodo/Glimt and 2.1 for Viking
- Over 3.5 cards45%
- Over 4.5 cards26%
- Over 5.5 cards13%
Shots
29.4 expected
19.5 for Bodo/Glimt and 10.0 for Viking
- Over 20.5 shots88%
- Over 22.5 shots80%
- Over 24.5 shots71%
Fouls
21.1 expected
9.9 for Bodo/Glimt and 11.2 for Viking
- Over 20.5 fouls53%
- Over 22.5 fouls37%
- Over 24.5 fouls24%
Saved before kickoff, on (UTC). This is how it was published and how it will be checked.