Molde vs Fredrikstad

Molde56%
Draw23%
Fredrikstad21%

1.98 expected goals for Molde

1.17 expected goals for Fredrikstad

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes Molde the clear favourite: 56% to win. It expects 3.1 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 61% chance, and both teams scoring, 57%. And about 10.3 corners.

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%It happened
Over 1.5 goals83%It happened
Over 2.5 goals61%It happened
Over 3.5 goals38%It happened
Over 4.5 goals21%It happened

Both teams score57%
Molde or draw79%
Draw or Fredrikstad44%
No draw77%

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.3 expected

5.8 for Molde and 4.5 for Fredrikstad

Over 8.5 corners65%
Over 9.5 corners55%
Over 10.5 corners45%

Cards

3.5 expected

1.5 for Molde and 2.0 for Fredrikstad

Over 3.5 cards47%
Over 4.5 cards28%
Over 5.5 cards15%

Shots

29.6 expected

18.2 for Molde and 11.5 for Fredrikstad

Over 20.5 shots89%
Over 22.5 shots82%
Over 24.5 shots73%

Fouls

21.0 expected

10.5 for Molde and 10.5 for Fredrikstad

Over 20.5 fouls52%
Over 22.5 fouls37%
Over 24.5 fouls23%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.