Wednesday 28 October, 09:00
Final score
AIK Stockholm2-2IF Elfsborg
The model gave this result 24%. Its most likely result was a IF Elfsborg win (43%).
AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg
- AIK Stockholm33%
- Draw24%
- IF Elfsborg43%
1.39 expected goals for AIK Stockholm
1.61 expected goals for IF Elfsborg
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
IF Elfsborg has the edge (43%), but not by much: a draw is at 24% and a AIK Stockholm win at 33%. It expects 3.0 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance, and both teams scoring, 55%. And about 9.9 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals94%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals81%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals56%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals35%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals18%It did not happen
- Both teams score55%
- AIK Stockholm or draw57%
- Draw or IF Elfsborg67%
- No draw76%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
9.9 expected
5.7 for AIK Stockholm and 4.2 for IF Elfsborg
- Over 8.5 corners61%
- Over 9.5 corners50%
- Over 10.5 corners40%
Cards
3.3 expected
1.2 for AIK Stockholm and 2.0 for IF Elfsborg
- Over 3.5 cards41%
- Over 4.5 cards23%
- Over 5.5 cards11%
Shots
28.6 expected
15.9 for AIK Stockholm and 12.7 for IF Elfsborg
- Over 20.5 shots87%
- Over 22.5 shots79%
- Over 24.5 shots69%
Fouls
21.4 expected
10.0 for AIK Stockholm and 11.4 for IF Elfsborg
- Over 20.5 fouls55%
- Over 22.5 fouls40%
- Over 24.5 fouls26%
Saved before kickoff, on 27 October at 06:57 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.