Probably Football

Matches

Allsvenskan (Sweden)

Sunday 25 October, 09:00

Final score

BK Hacken4-0Degerfors IF

The model's most likely result happened: a BK Hacken win (60%).

BK Hacken vs Degerfors IF

  1. BK Hacken60%
  2. Draw24%
  3. Degerfors IF16%

1.80 expected goals for BK Hacken

0.77 expected goals for Degerfors IF

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

The model makes BK Hacken the clear favourite: 60% to win. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 51% chance, and both teams scoring, 49%. And about 10.4 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
  2. Over 1.5 goals73%It happened
  3. Over 2.5 goals51%It happened
  4. Over 3.5 goals26%It happened
  5. Over 4.5 goals12%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.4 expected

5.9 for BK Hacken and 4.5 for Degerfors IF

  1. Over 8.5 corners65%
  2. Over 9.5 corners55%
  3. Over 10.5 corners45%

Cards

3.1 expected

1.1 for BK Hacken and 2.0 for Degerfors IF

  1. Over 3.5 cards38%
  2. Over 4.5 cards21%
  3. Over 5.5 cards10%

Shots

27.8 expected

18.4 for BK Hacken and 9.4 for Degerfors IF

  1. Over 20.5 shots83%
  2. Over 22.5 shots74%
  3. Over 24.5 shots64%

Fouls

24.5 expected

11.8 for BK Hacken and 12.7 for Degerfors IF

  1. Over 20.5 fouls77%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls63%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls48%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.