Sunday 25 October, 09:00
Final score
BK Hacken4-0Degerfors IF
The model's most likely result happened: a BK Hacken win (60%).
BK Hacken vs Degerfors IF
- BK Hacken60%
- Draw24%
- Degerfors IF16%
1.80 expected goals for BK Hacken
0.77 expected goals for Degerfors IF
Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.
What the model said before kickoff
The model makes BK Hacken the clear favourite: 60% to win. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 51% chance, and both teams scoring, 49%. And about 10.4 corners.
Goals
- Over 0.5 goals92%It happened
- Over 1.5 goals73%It happened
- Over 2.5 goals51%It happened
- Over 3.5 goals26%It happened
- Over 4.5 goals12%It did not happen
- Both teams score49%
- BK Hacken or draw83%
- Draw or Degerfors IF40%
- No draw76%
Corners, cards and more
These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.
Corners
10.4 expected
5.9 for BK Hacken and 4.5 for Degerfors IF
- Over 8.5 corners65%
- Over 9.5 corners55%
- Over 10.5 corners45%
Cards
3.1 expected
1.1 for BK Hacken and 2.0 for Degerfors IF
- Over 3.5 cards38%
- Over 4.5 cards21%
- Over 5.5 cards10%
Shots
27.8 expected
18.4 for BK Hacken and 9.4 for Degerfors IF
- Over 20.5 shots83%
- Over 22.5 shots74%
- Over 24.5 shots64%
Fouls
24.5 expected
11.8 for BK Hacken and 12.7 for Degerfors IF
- Over 20.5 fouls77%
- Over 22.5 fouls63%
- Over 24.5 fouls48%
Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.