Probably Football

Matches

Allsvenskan (Sweden)

Sunday 25 October, 09:00

Final score

IF Elfsborg0-0Malmo FF

The model gave this result 26%. Its most likely result was a IF Elfsborg win (44%).

IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF

  1. IF Elfsborg44%
  2. Draw26%
  3. Malmo FF30%

1.50 expected goals for IF Elfsborg

1.11 expected goals for Malmo FF

Goal probabilities corrected with this league's own past results.

What the model said before kickoff

IF Elfsborg has the edge (44%), but not by much: a draw is at 26% and a Malmo FF win at 30%. It expects 2.6 goals in total: over 2.5 goals has a 51% chance, and both teams scoring, 52%. And about 10.0 corners.

Goals

  1. Over 0.5 goals92%It did not happen
  2. Over 1.5 goals74%It did not happen
  3. Over 2.5 goals51%It did not happen
  4. Over 3.5 goals27%It did not happen
  5. Over 4.5 goals12%It did not happen

Corners, cards and more

These numbers do not get the league correction yet. Trust them a little less than the goal numbers.

Corners

10.0 expected

5.4 for IF Elfsborg and 4.6 for Malmo FF

  1. Over 8.5 corners62%
  2. Over 9.5 corners52%
  3. Over 10.5 corners42%

Cards

3.1 expected

1.2 for IF Elfsborg and 1.9 for Malmo FF

  1. Over 3.5 cards39%
  2. Over 4.5 cards21%
  3. Over 5.5 cards10%

Shots

26.5 expected

13.8 for IF Elfsborg and 12.8 for Malmo FF

  1. Over 20.5 shots80%
  2. Over 22.5 shots70%
  3. Over 24.5 shots59%

Fouls

23.9 expected

12.2 for IF Elfsborg and 11.7 for Malmo FF

  1. Over 20.5 fouls73%
  2. Over 22.5 fouls59%
  3. Over 24.5 fouls44%

Saved before kickoff, on 25 October at 07:17 (Peru time). This is exactly what was published before the match.